The following Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) summarise key
findings on the MRC commissioned Strategic
Environmental Assessment (SEA) of proposed hydropower on
the Mekong mainstream, Final Report. The intention of these
FAQs is to summarise the SEA into brief points, and to address
some of the questions which go beyond the report. Main questions
answered in this FAQ include: What are
some of the Final Report's main conclusions? How
does the SEA relate to the Procedures for Notification, Prior
Consultation and Agreement (PNPCA) Process? How
does the SEA relate to the BDP? And, what
are the MRC’s perspectives on the SEA?
SEA Background
What is the SEA?
- A SEA addresses the broader strategic
issues relating to policies or programmes that go beyond a
single project:
SEAs follow similar steps to project-specific Environmental
Impact Assessments (EIAs), but have much larger boundaries
in terms of time, space and subject coverage. The SEA is a
tool to examine the broad strategic concerns which need to
be resolved and decided on, prior to making project specific
decisions. The SEA, commissioned by the MRC, provides an understanding
of the implications of proposed mainstream hydropower development
and recommendations on whether and how such projects should
best be considered by Member Countries.
- The SEA process is a comprehensive
approach to assist Member Countries and wider stakeholders
in assessing the development risks and opportunities of mainstream
Mekong hydropower proposals: Whereas the SEA report
and analysis is not produced by the MRC, but by the SEA Consultant
team, the SEA stakeholder participation process was coordinated
and funded through the MRC's Initiative
on Sustainable Hydropower (ISH), a cross-cutting initiative
working together with all MRC programmes. The SEA comprised
4 main phases: (i) scoping, (ii) baseline assessment, (iii)
opportunities & risks assessment, and (iv) avoidance, enhancement
and mitigation assessment. Each phase included the preparation
and circulation of a set of reports as the basis for consultation
and feedback. The SEA was a collaborative process involving
the MRC Secretariat, government agencies of the four Member
Countries as well as civil society, the private sector, other
stakeholders and a research institute from China. The SEA
process was authorized by the MRC Joint Committee as part
of the overall ISH work programme.
- The SEA is a response to a growing
interest in hydropower development along the mainstream Mekong:
The growing interest in mainstream Mekong development follows
the resurgence of interest in hydropower to develop indigenous
energy resources, the interest of Lao PDR and Cambodia to
generate revenue from power exports to meet growing demand
in Thailand and Viet Nam, as well as the increased global
emphasis on reducing carbon emissions from electricity generation.
At the same time, the completion of large hydropower projects
in China, which will result in increased dry season flows
downstream, raises the potential for generation from mainstream
hydropower development in the Lower Mekong Basin. Many of
the proposed projects have been identified for over 15 years,
but it is the recent interest among private sector developers,
mostly from the Asia region, that has led to the current plans
being developed to a more advanced stage of feasibility study
under regulatory systems established by the governments. The
SEA is therefore a response to a high volume of investor and
developer interest in the twelve hydropower projects proposed
for the mainstream LMB. It is intended as a preparation measure
for, and as input to, the MRC's formal consultation process
under the PNPCA,
to feed into the MRC Basin
Development Plan (BDP), and ultimately to inform national
decision processes concerning the mainstream proposals.
- The SEA draws extensively from MRC
programme work: An inclusive and participatory process,
the SEA builds upon MRC programme work over several years,
especially work on scenario assessments by the Basin Development
Plan (BDP-Phase
2), the modelling team in the Information
and Knowledge Management Programme (IKMP), and the data
and studies of the Environment,
Fisheries and Navigation
Programmes. The SEA featured extensive consultations with
government agencies, civil society, private sector developers
and donor partners both at the national levels in each of
the four LMB countries. Regionally, China participated in
the SEA process through the Ecosystem Study Commission for
International Rivers (ESCIR), by exchanging information through
its modelling teams, facilitating visits to the dams in China
and contributing presentations to SEA regional workshops.
- The SEA seeks to identify the potential
opportunities, contributions and risks by assessing alternative
mainstream Mekong hydropower development strategies:
In particular, the SEA focuses on regional cost distributions
and benefits with respect to economic development, social
equity and environmental protection. As such, the SEA supports
the wider Basin Development Planning (BDP) process by complementing
the MRC BDP assessment of basin2 wide development scenarios
with more in-depth analysis of power related and cross-sector
development opportunities and risks of the proposed mainstream
projects in the Lower Mekong Basin.
- The SEA offers conclusions and recommendations
that draw together the strategic assessment of the 12 LMB
mainstream projects in the context of sustainable development
of the Mekong River and implementation of the 1995
Mekong Agreement: The SEA directly enhances the baseline
information and assessment framework for subsequent government
reviews of project-specific Environmental Impact Assessments
(EIAs), prepared by developers. It helps MRC decide some of
its research priorities, studies and investigations that need
to be undertaken by MRC Programmes to reduce the risk and
uncertainties about the development of mainstream dams.
SEA Outcomes
What are some of key messages in the SEA Final
Report outcomes?
- The SEA presents opportunities and
risks associated with mainstream hydropower development:
The 12 proposed LMB mainstream projects offer considerable
development risks as well as considerable development opportunities
for the LMB countries. Some of the increased risks include
an irreversible loss in fisheries with related livelihood
and nutrition impacts, changes in sediment flows and sediment-nutrient
balances and ecological diversity, while the opportunities
include the significant power benefits resulting in national
economic gains, the benefits that accrue from the large investments
in goods and services, as well as greater navigation possibilities
with increased water levels, localized irrigation potential
and offsetting thermal power station emissions.
SEA Summary of economic
opportunities & risks for LMB countries for all 12 LMB mainstream
projects
Cambodia
- Serious adverse consequences for fisheries and fishers,
food security and poverty reduction
- Significant benefits from power sector development,
secure and less expensive power for industry and economic
diversification in the long term
- Fisheries losses likely to out-weigh benefits of
power production at least in the short to medium term
|
| OPPORTUNITIES |
|
RISKS |
- Significant benefits from less expensive and secure
national power supply (replacing costly diesel imports)
- Increaed competitiveness in manufacturing sector
- Increased government revenue from power export and
taxes
- Increase in irrigable area and agricultural productivity
in some areas
- Longer term strategic flexibility in power supply
once concession periods end
|
|
- Loss of fisheries resources and significant impact
on food security
- Livelihoods disruption of over 1.6 million fishers
- Loss in GDP through economic losses in fisheries
and agriculture
- Ancillary services and processing would suffer
- Loss of sediments and associated nutrients to Tonle
Sap system, and associated adverse impacts on primary
- production, flood forest and local/migratory fish
- Loss of river bank gardens - likely to be significant
for riparian communities in some areas
- Loss of fertility and agricultural productivity in
flood plains
- Loss of tourism assets and revenue
- Lack of national grid may inhibit equitable distribution
of power
- Loss of biodiversity
|
Lao PDR
- Likely significant overall economic benefit –
this is likely to be unevenly distributed
- Negative impacts on vulnerable communities likely
to be significant
- GoL expenditure of increased net revenues could help
ameliorate negative impacts
|
| OPPORTUNITIES |
|
RISKS |
- Significant benefits from economic stimulus
of FDI in LMB mainstream hydropower
- May see net revenue benefits in concession
period depending on the design of financing agreement
and adequate oversight capacity
- Likely to see significant benefits after 25
year concessions end and the projects
transferred to GoL
- Benefits of increased irrigable area and agricultural
productivity in some areas
- Improvement in navigability for med/large vessels
upstream of Vientiane
- Longer term strategic flexibility in power
supply once concession periods end
|
|
- Possibility of macro-economic imbalances developing
due to booming hydropower sector
- Loss of fisheries – likely to affect food security
and livelihoods of vulnerable populations
- Loss of river bank gardens particularly significant
in Lao PDR
- Loss of valuable tourism assets
- Loss of biodiversity
|
Thailand
- Overall economic benefit although insignificant for
national economy
- Economic risks to livelihoods for riparian communities
in the basin
|
| OPPORTUNITIES |
|
RISKS |
- Will receive significant portion of the economic benefits
of power from imports
- Improvement in navigability for med/large
vessels in upper reaches of the LMB
|
|
- Loss of fisheries
- Loss of agricultural land
- Possible loss of eco-tourism assets
|
Viet Nam
- ? Likely overall economic loss
- Losses borne predominantly by poorer communities
in the Mekong delta
|
| OPPORTUNITIES |
|
RISKS |
- Will receive significant portion of the
economic benefits of improved power supply (from imported
power)
|
|
- Significant loss in fresh water and marine capture
fisheries and aquaculture – likely to affect livelihoods
of fisher folk in delta - especially poorer groups
- Loss of sediments and associated nutrients, significant
adverse economic affects to deltaic sedimentation, fisheries
(Mekong and marine) and agriculture
|
- The SEA considered four Strategic Options
for mainstream hydropower development: The SEA has
described and consulted on four Strategic Options:
- No mainstream dams;
- Deferred decision on all mainstream dams for a set
period;
- Gradual development of mainstream power; and
- Market driven development of the proposed mainstream
projects.
The SEA assessed each of the four options, based on the four
assessment phases and findings of the SEA and makes detailed
recommendations for each strategic option so that the LMB
governments have guidance on critical issues whichever strategy
is adopted.
What are some of the
reports main conclusions?
- The SEA consultant team recommends
a 10-year deferral for mainstream hydropower development:The
SEA consultants advise that due to the uncertainties regarding
scale and irreversibility of risks in such a complex river
system, that decisions on mainstream dams should be deferred
for a period of up to ten years, with reviews made every three
years, to ensure that the necessary conditions to strengthen
understanding of the natural systems as well as management
and regulatory processes are conducted effectively.
- Trans-boundary impacts are a key message:
The impacts of the LMB mainstream schemes must be seen in
relation to the cumulative and trans-boundary impacts of the
growing number of LMB tributary hydropower projects and the
storage dams on the Lancang River in China. Reviewing the
possible impacts of individual projects individually does
not offer a complete picture. The specific impacts (positive
and negative) of the proposed mainstream dams are additional
to the effects of the committed 41 large hydropower schemes
on Mekong River tributaries by 2015, the 8 storage schemes
in the Lancang-Mekong Basin in China, as well as cumulative
impacts of other non-dam pressures on the Mekong's natural
resource systems.
- Equity of development benefits at national
and local levels need to be assured: One central issue
in the SEA Final Report is the distribution of costs and benefits,
both regionally and locally. National benefits from electricity
generation need to be shared with affected and vulnerable
river communities. Benefits that may accrue at the regional
or national level need to also be shared with vulnerable groups
who may suffer the greatest adverse impacts in terms of loss
of livelihood opportunity derived from riverine resources,
nutrition and cultural loss. It is important to recognise
that these impacts are both cumulative and trans-boundary
in nature.
MRC's Perspectives on the
SEA
As a technical advisory
body, to what extent does the MRC Secretariat support the final
SEA recommendations?
- As with any commissioned study, the
SEA report is not an official MRC approved document::
The final report document needs to be discussed by the various
MRC bodies and does not therefore necessarily represent the
MRCs views, conclusions or recommendations. The document
was prepared for the MRC by the SEA Consultant team to assist
the MRCs Secretariat with information gathering.
- The SEA report and supporting material
will be made widely available and circulated to all SEA stakeholders:
The
Final Report Summary is translated into the four MRC Member
Countries’ languages. The report and its> recommendations
will be discussed with MRC bodies including the National Mekong
Committees and the MRC Joint Committee. One immediate main
function is to inform the formal MRC prior consultation process
(see FAQ below) on individual mainstream dam proposals, as
with the Xayaburi
dam proposal. The SEA provides the much needed framework
of cumulative assessment which individual projects can then
be reviewed.
- The MRC pro-actively supports Member
Countries to prepare for decisions on mainstream Mekong hydropower
proposals with the aim to reach a common agreement:
One of the main objectives of the SEA is to identify knowledge
gaps on key issues that impact the entire LMB and to make
informed judgements in arriving at its recommendations. In
the event that after the joint consultation process Member
Countries decide to pursue mainstream development, the MRC
will support Member Countries by providing necessary guidance
on planning and design issues relating to project sustainability
and mitigation of trans-boundary impacts as well as on monitoring
requirements.
- Mainstream hydropower development is
complex, controversial and irreversible: Sufficient
consensus is required for a long-term vision of the balance
between water resource development and protection. The integration
of these decisions coupled with energy and power sector strategies,
national policies and bilateral and regional agreements, in
the power sector, as well as other impacted sectors (fisheries,
agriculture and navigation) need to internalise the implications
for poverty reduction strategies, to meet national development
targets.
What are some of the next steps for the MRC
on the SEA?
- The MRC will make the SEA Final Report
available for public viewing on its website: In addition,
the MRC has translated the Summary of the Final Report in
all riparian languages, also available on the RMC website
at http://www.mrcmekong.org/ish/SEA.htm
- The MRC will propose to conduct consultations
with the MRC programmes, and possibly with Member Countries,
on the final report and its findings and recommendations
for next steps.
- SEA recommendations assist the MRC with
future programme planning: Recommendations for actions
in the SEA such as research, data collection, monitoring and
consultation processes, and strengthened management and regulatory
systems to name a few, can assist the MRC in its programme
work plans for the coming years in cooperation with MRC development
partners and stakeholders.
Stakeholder's Perspectives on the SEA
What are some of the stakeholders’ perspectives
on the SEA?
- The SEA has been intensively consultative:
The SEA has involved over 60 line agencies, 40 NGOs and civil
society organisations and some 20 international development
organisations in meetings and workshops. The SEA process also
included the participation of China through the Ecosystem
Study Commission for International Rivers (ESCIR).
- Stakeholders' views on development
in the Lower Mekong Basin is varied as witnessed throughout
the SEA process: Stakeholder's views formed the basis
of the four Strategic Options that were presented in the final
stages of the SEA process to represent their views on avoiding,
deferring, or proceeding with mainstream hydropower development.
- Stakeholder consensus on SEA topics
include strengthening communications with affected communities
and equitable benefit sharing: Stakeholders agreed
that trans-boundary impacts need to be addressed comprehensively
by national governments, including those that will be caused
by projects already underway. Communications strategies and
information exchange among riverine communities needs to be
improved to help communities understand the full extent of
how they would be impacted. Stakeholders also agreed that
meaningful steps need to be taken to assure equitable distribution
of benefits and costs of mainstream Mekong hydropower development.
Mechanisms also should be developed to deliver benefits to
affected communities through apportionment of benefits accruing
at national levels to address benefit sharing concerns.
- China was involved as a key stakeholder
through the Ecosystem Study Commission for International Rivers
(ESCIR): As an MRC Dialogue Partner, China, along with
Myanmar, participated in national workshops, data exchanges
and presentations to other SEA stakeholders. Visits to Chinese
dams were also organised for the MRC by ESCIR.
The SEA and the Basin Development Plan
How does the SEA relate
to the BDP?
- The SEA is time bounded and provides
strategic inputs to the ongoing BDP: SEAs are also
part of the legal framework of assessments required by an
increasing number of LMB countries. The SEA of proposed mainstream
hydropower projects focuses on a subset of the scope of the
broader BDP and specifically addresses the risks and opportunities
of one group of highly contested projects. The Basin Development
Plan is an integral part of the 1995 Mekong Agreement as a
rolling joint planning process to help the MRC member countries
develop and manage the Mekong water and resources in a sustainable
and equitable manner. The BDP works across all water related
sectors (irrigation, navigation, fisheries, flood management,
environment protection, etc), analysing potential synergies
and conflicts between them, to provide a basin-wide perspective
on how well national water resources development plans, including
hydropower development, will help achieve an acceptable balance
between economic, environment and social outcomes in the LMB.
- The SEA and the BDP have a different
scope: The scope of BDP goes beyond consideration of
mainstream dams to look at a broad range of future development
scenarios including water for irrigated agriculture and urban/
industrial use, tributary hydropower, and flood risk management
in the Mekong Delta. The SEA brings mainstream hydropower,
regional power, and energy parameters into a sharper focus
of the current planning cycle to address urgent questions
in the basin. The SEA complements the BDP scenario assessment
with recommendations for avoidance, mitigation and enhancement
measures. It also helps member countries broaden their planning
options by providing alternative assessments for energy and
power. Both the SEA and the IWRM-based Basin Development Strategy
provide the background framework of analysis within which
to conduct the MRC's prior consultation process on any individual
project.
- The SEA provides recommendations that
address the impacts of the BDP Definite Future Scenario (DFS):
The SEA provides recommendations that address potential impacts
of the BDP Definite Future Scenario including operational
considerations for the Lancang-Mekong mainstream dams in China
and up to 28 LMB tributary hydropower projects in the Lower
Mekong Basin. In preparing the IWRM-based Basin Development
Strategy that draws on both BDP scenario and SEA assessments,
member countries have agreed to prioritize the development
of mitigation measures for the DFS in the next five years.
This will be part of the early implementation of the Strategy
upon its approval, expected in December 2010.
- The process of incorporating the SEA
outcomes into the BDP is ongoing: The IWRM based Basin
Development Strategy is being updated in preparation for approval
by the MRC Council in December 2010. How the SEA can specifically
be incorporated into the BDP was one important discussion
point at the recent Third BDP Regional Stakeholder Forum and
is being addressed by the MRC Secretariat. The Strategy draws
on the results of both the BDP Scenarios and the SEA to build
Member Countriesf shared understanding of the opportunities
and risks associated with water resources development, including
hydropower development in LMB. This leads to the agreement
on a set of priority Strategic Guidance that member countries
will implement to optimize the opportunities and minimize
the risks. Both processes have come up with similar recommended
further studies to address the uncertainties and these have
been included as priority actions by Member Countries and
the MRC in the next five years. For proposed mainstream dams,
this includes the MRC PNPCA process and national environmental
and licensing processes. The SEA will be used to inform detailed
discussions on the hydropower projects during those review
processes while the BDP provides a broader picture of cumulative
impacts of combined hydropower and other water resources development.
The SEA and the PNPCA
How does the SEA relate
to the Procedures for Notification, Prior Consultation and Agreement
(PNPCA) Process?
- MRC Member Countries adhere to the
PNPCA
process to assure regional cooperation: At regional
level, MRC Member Countries have adopted a protocol under
the 1995 Mekong
Agreementwhich commits them to submitting mainstream project
proposals to other Member Countries before any decision is
made for it to proceed. This process requires extensive prior
consultations aimed to reach agreements on whether to proceed
with a project and if so, under what conditions. That full
PNPCA process was first triggered by the Government of Lao
PDR for the Xayaburi
hydropower proposal in September 2010.
- The SEA is immediately relevant to
the MRC's Procedures for Notification, Prior Consultation
and Agreement (PNPCA) Process: The SEA provides the
overall framework of analysis of risks and opportunities of
mainstream development within which individual projects such
as Xayaburi will be assessed. It examines cumulative impacts
and questions of distribution of benefits and impacts.
- The SEA primarily relates to the PNPCA
Process as a technical input, but it is also a process:
The MRC has been working pro-actively to assist Member Countries
prepare for decisions on mainstream hydropower proposals.
Much of MRC's research work over the years on environmental
issues and fisheries has been used in the SEA and in the process
it has been compiled and synthesised. The SEA process itself
incorporated a national and regional dialogue process where
all parties now have greater familiarity with the issues and
confidence in multi-stakeholder approaches. This will enable
the PNPCA to start at a more advanced level of understanding
and cooperation. In compliance with the 1995 Mekong Agreement,
the PNPCA states that in the event of the development of mainstream
hydropower projects, rigorous prior consultation that aims
at arriving at an agreement by the Joint Committee of the
MRC is required. That ultimately will be a negotiation process
informed by the knowledge base accumulated by the MRC and
others and which has been summarised in the SEA.